Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
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College football & hoops · 25 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF North Carolina Tar Heels @ TCU Horned FrogsTar Heels @ Horned Frogs 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.5% |
31.5% | 68.5% | +5.5% 25 books |
| NCAAF NC State Wolfpack @ Virginia CavaliersWolfpack @ Cavaliers 2026-08-29 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.7% |
36.5% | 63.4% | +5.7% 22 books |
| NCAAF Colorado Buffaloes @ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsBuffaloes @ Yellow Jackets 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC · margin cut +6.2% |
29.5% | 70.5% | +6.2% 19 books |
| NCAAF Miami Hurricanes @ Stanford CardinalHurricanes @ Cardinal 2026-09-05 01:00 UTC · margin cut +5.5% |
91.6% | 8.4% | +5.5% 20 books |
| NCAAF Baylor Bears @ Auburn TigersBears @ Tigers 2026-09-05 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.9% |
30.1% | 69.9% | +5.9% 24 books |
| NCAAF Boston College Eagles @ Cincinnati BearcatsEagles @ Bearcats 2026-09-05 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.5% |
29.9% | 70.1% | +5.5% 19 books |
| NCAAF Clemson Tigers @ LSU TigersTigers @ Tigers 2026-09-05 23:30 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
20.9% | 79.1% | +5.6% 15 books |
| NCAAF UCLA Bruins @ California Golden BearsBruins @ Golden Bears 2026-09-06 02:30 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
48.2% | 51.8% | +5.6% 22 books |
| NCAAF Louisville Cardinals @ Ole Miss RebelsCardinals @ Rebels 2026-09-06 23:30 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
31.6% | 68.4% | +5.1% 8 books |
| NCAAF Wisconsin Badgers @ Notre Dame Fighting IrishBadgers @ Fighting Irish 2026-09-06 23:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
9.1% | 90.9% | +4.8% 6 books |
| NCAAF San Jose State Spartans @ USC TrojansSpartans @ Trojans 2026-08-29 19:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
5.5% | 94.5% | +4.8% 5 books |
| NCAAF New Mexico State Aggies @ Florida State SeminolesAggies @ Seminoles 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC · margin cut +5.4% |
6.1% | 93.9% | +5.4% 10 books |
| NCAAF Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Stanford CardinalRainbow Warriors @ Cardinal 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
38.2% | 61.8% | +5.6% 20 books |
| NCAAF UMass Minutemen @ Rutgers Scarlet KnightsMinutemen @ Scarlet Knights 2026-09-03 22:00 UTC · margin cut +4.5% |
5.2% | 94.8% | +4.5% 2 books |
| NCAAF Akron Zips @ Wake Forest Demon DeaconsZips @ Demon Deacons 2026-09-03 23:00 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
8.3% | 91.8% | +5.3% 13 books |
| NCAAF UAB Blazers @ Illinois Fighting IlliniBlazers @ Fighting Illini 2026-09-04 01:00 UTC · margin cut +5.4% |
6.1% | 93.9% | +5.4% 9 books |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
