Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
College football & hoops · 50 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana HoosiersWildcats @ Hoosiers 2026-09-26 00:00 UTC · margin cut +4.6% |
8.7% | 91.3% | +4.6% 49 books |
| NCAAF Clemson Tigers @ California Golden BearsTigers @ Golden Bears 2026-09-26 02:30 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
50.1% | 49.9% | +5.3% 48 books |
| NCAAF Texas Longhorns @ Tennessee VolunteersLonghorns @ Volunteers 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
65.4% | 34.6% | +5.3% 47 books |
| NCAAF Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Louisville CardinalsDemon Deacons @ Cardinals 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
20.4% | 79.6% | +5.1% 49 books |
| NCAAF Virginia Tech Hokies @ Boston College EaglesHokies @ Eagles 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.2% |
82.1% | 17.9% | +5.2% 49 books |
| NCAAF Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State BuckeyesFighting Illini @ Buckeyes 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.5% |
6.0% | 94.0% | +4.5% 40 books |
| NCAAF Colorado Buffaloes @ Baylor BearsBuffaloes @ Bears 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.4% |
24.1% | 75.9% | +5.4% 47 books |
| NCAAF UCLA Bruins @ Maryland TerrapinsBruins @ Terrapins 2026-09-26 17:30 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
52.3% | 47.7% | +5.3% 48 books |
| NCAAF Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue BoilermakersFighting Irish @ Boilermakers 2026-09-26 18:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
93.9% | 6.1% | +4.7% 40 books |
| NCAAF TCU Horned Frogs @ UCF KnightsHorned Frogs @ Knights 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
58.5% | 41.5% | +5.0% 45 books |
| NCAAF Utah Utes @ Iowa State CyclonesUtes @ Cyclones 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
74.5% | 25.5% | +5.1% 48 books |
| NCAAF Oklahoma Sooners @ Georgia BulldogsSooners @ Bulldogs 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.2% |
17.7% | 82.3% | +5.2% 49 books |
| NCAAF Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan WolverinesHawkeyes @ Wolverines 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.2% |
34.7% | 65.3% | +5.2% 46 books |
| NCAAF Ole Miss Rebels @ Florida GatorsRebels @ Gators 2026-09-26 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
42.1% | 57.9% | +5.0% 48 books |
| NCAAF Vanderbilt Commodores @ Auburn TigersCommodores @ Tigers 2026-09-26 20:15 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
25.7% | 74.3% | +5.1% 49 books |
| NCAAF Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany LionsBadgers @ Nittany Lions 2026-09-26 21:00 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
23.2% | 76.8% | +5.1% 47 books |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind: