Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
College football & hoops · 52 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF Pittsburgh Panthers @ Virginia Tech HokiesPanthers @ Hokies 2026-10-02 23:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
46.1% | 53.9% | +4.8% 52 books |
| NCAAF Penn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern WildcatsNittany Lions @ Wildcats 2026-10-03 00:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
56.1% | 43.9% | +4.9% 52 books |
| NCAAF Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State BulldogsCrimson Tide @ Bulldogs 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
65.4% | 34.6% | +5.0% 52 books |
| NCAAF Michigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden GophersWolverines @ Golden Gophers 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
67.0% | 33.0% | +5.0% 51 books |
| NCAAF West Virginia Mountaineers @ Iowa State CyclonesMountaineers @ Cyclones 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
41.3% | 58.7% | +4.8% 52 books |
| NCAAF Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar HeelsFighting Irish @ Tar Heels 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.5% |
91.3% | 8.7% | +4.5% 50 books |
| NCAAF UCF Knights @ Houston CougarsKnights @ Cougars 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
22.3% | 77.7% | +5.0% 52 books |
| NCAAF Stanford Cardinal @ Wake Forest Demon DeaconsCardinal @ Demon Deacons 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
17.7% | 82.3% | +4.9% 52 books |
| NCAAF Boston College Eagles @ SMU MustangsEagles @ Mustangs 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
9.5% | 90.5% | +4.8% 50 books |
| NCAAF Michigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin BadgersSpartans @ Badgers 2026-10-03 16:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
23.9% | 76.1% | +4.8% 49 books |
| NCAAF Vanderbilt Commodores @ Georgia BulldogsCommodores @ Bulldogs 2026-10-03 16:45 UTC · margin cut +4.4% |
6.5% | 93.5% | +4.4% 50 books |
| NCAAF Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa HawkeyesBuckeyes @ Hawkeyes 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
83.1% | 16.9% | +5.0% 51 books |
| NCAAF Florida Gators @ Missouri TigersGators @ Tigers 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.2% |
65.5% | 34.5% | +5.2% 52 books |
| NCAAF Louisville Cardinals @ NC State WolfpackCardinals @ Wolfpack 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
59.9% | 40.1% | +4.8% 52 books |
| NCAAF Virginia Cavaliers @ Florida State SeminolesCavaliers @ Seminoles 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
53.1% | 46.9% | +4.9% 52 books |
| NCAAF Auburn Tigers @ Tennessee VolunteersTigers @ Volunteers 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
30.7% | 69.3% | +4.9% 51 books |
| NCAAF North Texas Mean GreenMean Green @ Tulsa Golden HurricaneGolden Hurricane |
45–44 Final |
| NCAAF Western Kentucky HilltoppersHilltoppers @ New Mexico State AggiesAggies |
13–34 Final |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind:
