Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
College football & hoops · 53 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville CardinalsSeminoles @ Cardinals 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
38.6% | 61.4% | +4.7% 53 books |
| NCAAF Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington HuskiesHawkeyes @ Huskies 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
41.7% | 58.3% | +4.8% 52 books |
| NCAAF Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU CougarsCyclones @ Cougars 2026-10-10 02:15 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
22.8% | 77.2% | +4.8% 51 books |
| NCAAF Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ NC State WolfpackDemon Deacons @ Wolfpack 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
60.5% | 39.5% | +4.7% 53 books |
| NCAAF Indiana Hoosiers @ Nebraska CornhuskersHoosiers @ Cornhuskers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
72.4% | 27.6% | +4.8% 53 books |
| NCAAF Texas A&M Aggies @ Missouri TigersAggies @ Tigers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
39.5% | 60.5% | +4.7% 52 books |
| NCAAF North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh PanthersTar Heels @ Panthers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
38.3% | 61.7% | +4.9% 53 books |
| NCAAF Arizona Wildcats @ West Virginia MountaineersWildcats @ Mountaineers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
59.2% | 40.8% | +4.7% 52 books |
| NCAAF UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State CowboysKnights @ Cowboys 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
22.5% | 77.5% | +4.7% 53 books |
| NCAAF South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida GatorsGamecocks @ Gators 2026-10-10 16:45 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
21.4% | 78.6% | +4.9% 53 books |
| NCAAF Virginia Tech Hokies @ California Golden BearsHokies @ Golden Bears 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
75.6% | 24.4% | +4.7% 50 books |
| NCAAF Duke Blue Devils @ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsBlue Devils @ Yellow Jackets 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
68.7% | 31.3% | +4.8% 51 books |
| NCAAF Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State SpartansFighting Illini @ Spartans 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
55.6% | 44.4% | +4.7% 51 books |
| NCAAF Ole Miss Rebels @ Vanderbilt CommodoresRebels @ Commodores 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
74.7% | 25.3% | +4.8% 51 books |
| NCAAF Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma SoonersLonghorns @ Sooners 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
73.1% | 26.9% | +4.9% 50 books |
| NCAAF UCLA Bruins @ Oregon DucksBruins @ Ducks 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
21.4% | 78.6% | +4.9% 53 books |
| NCAAF New Mexico State AggiesAggies @ Florida International PanthersPanthers |
3–22 Final |
| NCAAF Jacksonville State GamecocksGamecocks @ Kennesaw State OwlsOwls |
27–26 Final |
| NCAAF Southern Mississippi Golden EaglesGolden Eagles @ Troy TrojansTrojans |
34–55 Final |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind: