Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
College football & hoops · 46 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF Pittsburgh Panthers @ Virginia Tech HokiesPanthers @ Hokies 2026-10-02 23:00 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
40.1% | 59.9% | +5.1% 46 books |
| NCAAF Penn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern WildcatsNittany Lions @ Wildcats 2026-10-03 00:00 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
55.9% | 44.1% | +5.3% 46 books |
| NCAAF West Virginia Mountaineers @ Iowa State CyclonesMountaineers @ Cyclones 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
41.2% | 58.8% | +5.3% 45 books |
| NCAAF Michigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden GophersWolverines @ Golden Gophers 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
65.9% | 34.1% | +5.6% 44 books |
| NCAAF Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State BulldogsCrimson Tide @ Bulldogs 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
65.9% | 34.1% | +5.6% 45 books |
| NCAAF Stanford Cardinal @ Wake Forest Demon DeaconsCardinal @ Demon Deacons 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
19.3% | 80.7% | +5.3% 45 books |
| NCAAF UCF Knights @ Houston CougarsKnights @ Cougars 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
20.8% | 79.2% | +5.6% 45 books |
| NCAAF Boston College Eagles @ SMU MustangsEagles @ Mustangs 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.2% |
9.9% | 90.1% | +5.2% 43 books |
| NCAAF Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar HeelsFighting Irish @ Tar Heels 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
91.3% | 8.8% | +5.1% 39 books |
| NCAAF Michigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin BadgersSpartans @ Badgers 2026-10-03 16:30 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
22.9% | 77.1% | +5.3% 43 books |
| NCAAF Vanderbilt Commodores @ Georgia BulldogsCommodores @ Bulldogs 2026-10-03 16:45 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
7.2% | 92.8% | +4.9% 42 books |
| NCAAF Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa HawkeyesBuckeyes @ Hawkeyes 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.5% |
82.0% | 18.0% | +5.5% 44 books |
| NCAAF Florida Gators @ Missouri TigersGators @ Tigers 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.5% |
64.4% | 35.6% | +5.5% 45 books |
| NCAAF Louisville Cardinals @ NC State WolfpackCardinals @ Wolfpack 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.6% |
65.5% | 34.4% | +5.6% 44 books |
| NCAAF Virginia Cavaliers @ Florida State SeminolesCavaliers @ Seminoles 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.4% |
55.6% | 44.4% | +5.4% 45 books |
| NCAAF Auburn Tigers @ Tennessee VolunteersTigers @ Volunteers 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.4% |
29.2% | 70.8% | +5.4% 43 books |
| NCAAF Minnesota Golden GophersGolden Gophers @ Washington HuskiesHuskies |
27–24 Final |
| NCAAF Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsYellow Jackets @ Stanford CardinalCardinal |
27–34 Final |
| NCAAF Air Force FalconsFalcons @ Nevada Wolf PackPack |
36–33 Final |
| NCAAF Rice OwlsOwls @ Fresno State BulldogsBulldogs |
24–38 Final |
| NCAAF Missouri State BearsBears @ SMU MustangsMustangs |
24–34 Final |
| NCAAF UMass MinutemenMinutemen @ Sacramento State HornetsHornets |
35–6 Final |
| NCAAF Oregon State BeaversBeavers @ UTEP MinersMiners |
33–7 Final |
| NCAAF Florida Atlantic OwlsOwls @ UL Monroe WarhawksWarhawks |
45–17 Final |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind:
