Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
College football & hoops · 54 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia CavaliersBlue Devils @ Cavaliers 2026-10-23 23:00 UTC · margin cut +5.3% |
46.5% | 53.5% | +5.3% 52 books |
| NCAAF NC State Wolfpack @ Stanford CardinalWolfpack @ Cardinal 2026-10-24 02:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
69.0% | 31.0% | +4.8% 52 books |
| NCAAF California Golden Bears @ SMU MustangsGolden Bears @ Mustangs 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +3.7% |
11.8% | 88.2% | +3.7% 50 books |
| NCAAF Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Northwestern WildcatsScarlet Knights @ Wildcats 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.4% |
15.3% | 84.7% | +4.4% 52 books |
| NCAAF Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Cincinnati BearcatsRed Raiders @ Bearcats 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.6% |
77.1% | 22.9% | +4.6% 52 books |
| NCAAF LSU Tigers @ Auburn TigersTigers @ Tigers 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
71.0% | 29.0% | +4.8% 51 books |
| NCAAF West Virginia Mountaineers @ TCU Horned FrogsMountaineers @ Horned Frogs 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.5% |
26.0% | 74.0% | +4.5% 52 books |
| NCAAF Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan WolverinesHoosiers @ Wolverines 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.6% |
70.8% | 29.2% | +4.6% 51 books |
| NCAAF Pittsburgh Panthers @ Miami HurricanesPanthers @ Hurricanes 2026-10-24 16:00 UTC · margin cut +3.3% |
9.7% | 90.3% | +3.3% 50 books |
| NCAAF Baylor Bears @ Kansas JayhawksBears @ Jayhawks 2026-10-24 17:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
56.5% | 43.5% | +5.0% 52 books |
| NCAAF Oregon Ducks @ Illinois Fighting IlliniDucks @ Fighting Illini 2026-10-24 19:00 UTC · margin cut +4.7% |
74.5% | 25.5% | +4.7% 49 books |
| NCAAF Michigan State Spartans @ UCLA BruinsSpartans @ Bruins 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.2% |
17.5% | 82.5% | +4.2% 49 books |
| NCAAF Boston College Eagles @ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsEagles @ Yellow Jackets 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
37.4% | 62.6% | +4.9% 51 books |
| NCAAF Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State BulldogsSooners @ Bulldogs 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.8% |
62.7% | 37.3% | +4.8% 49 books |
| NCAAF Texas A&M Aggies @ Alabama Crimson TideAggies @ Crimson Tide 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.4% |
19.0% | 81.0% | +5.4% 50 books |
| NCAAF Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden GophersHawkeyes @ Golden Gophers 2026-10-24 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
68.1% | 31.9% | +4.9% 51 books |
| NCAAF South Alabama JaguarsJaguars @ Marshall Thundering HerdHerd |
13–20 Final |
| NCAAF Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersBlue Raiders @ Florida International PanthersPanthers |
26–23 Final |
| NCAAF Missouri State BearsBears @ Delaware Blue HensBlue Hens |
38–61 Final |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind: