Real-time win probabilities for college football and basketball — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped, one fair number per team. Powered by the SkipOdds Index.
College football & hoops · 52 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously
| Game | Fair win probability | Margin cut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville CardinalsSeminoles @ Cardinals 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
38.3% | 61.7% | +5.1% 48 books |
| NCAAF Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington HuskiesHawkeyes @ Huskies 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
41.5% | 58.5% | +4.9% 48 books |
| NCAAF Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU CougarsCyclones @ Cougars 2026-10-10 02:15 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
22.8% | 77.2% | +5.0% 48 books |
| NCAAF Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ NC State WolfpackDemon Deacons @ Wolfpack 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
61.5% | 38.5% | +5.0% 47 books |
| NCAAF UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State CowboysKnights @ Cowboys 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
25.3% | 74.7% | +4.9% 47 books |
| NCAAF North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh PanthersTar Heels @ Panthers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
38.2% | 61.8% | +4.9% 48 books |
| NCAAF Indiana Hoosiers @ Nebraska CornhuskersHoosiers @ Cornhuskers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
72.1% | 27.9% | +5.0% 48 books |
| NCAAF Arizona Wildcats @ West Virginia MountaineersWildcats @ Mountaineers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
59.1% | 40.9% | +4.9% 47 books |
| NCAAF Texas A&M Aggies @ Missouri TigersAggies @ Tigers 2026-10-10 16:00 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
38.8% | 61.2% | +5.0% 49 books |
| NCAAF South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida GatorsGamecocks @ Gators 2026-10-10 16:45 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
20.1% | 79.9% | +5.0% 49 books |
| NCAAF Ole Miss Rebels @ Vanderbilt CommodoresRebels @ Commodores 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.0% |
75.1% | 24.9% | +5.0% 45 books |
| NCAAF UCLA Bruins @ Oregon DucksBruins @ Ducks 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +4.9% |
21.4% | 78.6% | +4.9% 48 books |
| NCAAF Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma SoonersLonghorns @ Sooners 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
74.2% | 25.8% | +5.1% 45 books |
| NCAAF Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State SpartansFighting Illini @ Spartans 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
55.1% | 44.9% | +5.1% 45 books |
| NCAAF Stanford Cardinal @ Notre Dame Fighting IrishCardinal @ Fighting Irish 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +2.8% |
3.6% | 96.4% | +2.8% 10 books |
| NCAAF Houston Cougars @ Kansas State WildcatsCougars @ Wildcats 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC · margin cut +5.1% |
44.5% | 55.5% | +5.1% 46 books |
Market movement since lines opened · national polls
Moneyline odds overstate both teams — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the two implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. CollegeBall averages the surveyed prices for each team and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the game, two numbers that sum to exactly 100%. College football fills the board when season markets open in late August; hoops joins in November.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind:
